LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-70.5 pp

Signal Score

88/100

Data Confidence

High (82)

24h probability fell 70.5pp; volume is 603.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 18 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 16:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 70.5pp
  • 24h volume is 603.1x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $359,951

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 7, 04:30 PM

0% 40% 80% Aug 6 Aug 7 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-70.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

152 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 04:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM 0.1%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM 27.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM 69.5%
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM 69.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 69.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 70.5%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM 70.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 71.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM 70.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$2.8M

Volume vs Baseline

603.1x baseline

Liquidity

$360.0K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

100

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 88/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 100
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (82)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.