Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

60.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

27/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 21:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $322,954
Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

60.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

42 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 09:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM	60.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM	61.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM	61.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM	61.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM	63.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM	63.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM	63.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM	64.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM	64.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM	64.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM	64.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM	64.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM	64.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM	64.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM	64.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM	64.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM	64.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM	64.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM	63.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM	63.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM	63.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM	63.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM	63.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM	63.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$126.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$323.0K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 27/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 60

Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

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