Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

33.5%

24h Change

-13.5 pp

Signal Score

36/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 13.5pp

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 17:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $598,153
High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

33.5%

24h Change

-13.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

148 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	36.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	37.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	37.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM	37.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	39.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	39.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	40.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM	49.0%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM	49.0%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	47.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$222.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$598.2K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 36/100.

Probability Momentum 45

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 10

Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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