Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

47.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability fell 2.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 17:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $553,710
  • High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 47.5% · Aug 5, 05:00 PM

46% 49% 50% Aug 4 Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 5 Current 47.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

47.5%

24h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

148 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 05:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM 47.0%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM 49.0%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM 49.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$469.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$553.7K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

21

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 7
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 97
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

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