San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

55.5%

24h Change

+6.0 pp

Signal Score

31/100

Data Confidence

High (74)

24h probability rose 6.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 22:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $541,561
  • High data confidence (74)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 55.5% · Aug 5, 10:15 PM

49% 53% 56% Aug 4 Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 5 Current 55.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

55.5%

24h Change

+6.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

154 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM 55.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM 49.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$219.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$541.6K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

25

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 31/100.

Probability Momentum 20
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 50
Data Confidence High (74)

Next Steps

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