Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-12?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+32.5 pp

Signal Score

87/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 32.5pp; volume is 70.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 22:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 32.5pp
  • 24h volume is 70.6x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $97,289

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 12, 10:45 PM

64% 82% 100% Aug 11 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+32.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

164 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM 94.0%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 85.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 74.0%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 69.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 68.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 68.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 68.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 68.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 69.0%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 68.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM 68.0%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 68.0%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 68.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$127.1K

Volume vs Baseline

70.6x baseline

Liquidity

$97.3K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

98

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 87/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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