Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?

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Current Probability

71.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

Signal Score

33/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability fell 4.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 22:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $119,497
  • High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 71.5% · Aug 12, 10:45 PM

71% 74% 77% Aug 11 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Current 71.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

71.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM 71.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 76.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 74.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 72.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 75.0%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM 75.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$175.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$119.5K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

22

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 33/100.

Probability Momentum 13
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 85
Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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