Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-12?

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Current Probability

10.0%

24h Change

-21.0 pp

Signal Score

60/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 21.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-13 02:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $141,279
High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

10.0%

24h Change

-21.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 13, 02:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/13/2026, 2:15:00 AM	10.0%
8/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM	17.5%
8/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM	31.0%
8/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	31.0%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	31.0%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	31.0%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	31.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-21.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$147.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$141.3K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 60/100.

Probability Momentum 70

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 100

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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