Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 6?

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Current Probability

99.9%

24h Change

+0.3 pp

Signal Score

16/100

Data Confidence

Medium (70)

24h probability rose 0.3pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-06 10:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $23,514
  • Medium data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.9% · Aug 6, 10:15 AM

99% 101% 100% Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 6 Aug 6 Current 99.9% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

99.9%

24h Change

+0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 6, 10:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/6/2026, 10:15:00 AM 99.9%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM 99.9%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM 99.9%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM 99.9%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM 99.9%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM 99.9%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM 99.9%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 AM 99.9%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM 99.9%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM 99.8%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM 99.8%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM 99.7%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM 99.8%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM 99.9%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM 99.9%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM 99.9%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM 99.9%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM 99.7%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 99.6%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 99.6%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 99.6%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 99.6%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 99.6%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 99.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$121.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$23.5K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

17

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.

Probability Momentum 1
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (70)

Next Steps

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