Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

99.9%

24h Change

+0.7 pp

Signal Score

15/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability rose 0.7pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 10:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $29,851
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.9%

24h Change

+0.7 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

138 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	99.9%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	99.9%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	99.9%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	99.8%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	99.8%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	99.8%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	100.0%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	100.0%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	100.0%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	99.6%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	99.8%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	99.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM	99.4%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM	99.4%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM	99.4%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM	99.4%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	99.3%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM	99.3%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM	99.3%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM	99.3%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM	99.3%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM	99.3%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM	99.3%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM	99.2%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$89.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$29.9K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 15/100.

Probability Momentum 2

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 85

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗