Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

99.8%

24h Change

+1.9 pp

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability rose 1.9pp

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 22:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $30,989
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.8%

24h Change

+1.9 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

151 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM	99.8%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM	99.9%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM	99.9%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM	99.9%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM	99.9%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	99.7%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	99.4%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	99.4%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	99.3%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	99.4%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	99.4%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM	99.2%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	99.2%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	99.1%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	99.1%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	99.0%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	99.0%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	99.0%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	99.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	99.3%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	99.1%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	99.0%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	98.8%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$81.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$31.0K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 6

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 85

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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