Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6?

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Current Probability

89.5%

24h Change

+33.0 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability rose 33.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-06 10:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $29,641
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 89.5% · Aug 6, 10:15 AM

48% 74% 100% Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 6 Aug 6 Current 89.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

89.5%

24h Change

+33.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 6, 10:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/6/2026, 10:15:00 AM 89.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM 91.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM 95.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM 91.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM 91.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM 91.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM 86.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 AM 80.5%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM 81.5%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM 80.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM 80.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM 81.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM 85.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM 85.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM 82.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM 81.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 77.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 67.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-6.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$63.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$29.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

47

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 84
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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