Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?

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Current Probability

1.1%

24h Change

-3.2 pp

Signal Score

32/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 3.2pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-06 10:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $35,387
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 1.1% · Aug 6, 10:15 AM

0% 6% 11% Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 6 Aug 6 Current 1.1% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

1.1%

24h Change

-3.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 6, 10:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/6/2026, 10:15:00 AM 1.1%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM 1.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM 4.2%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM 3.9%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM 5.1%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM 5.9%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM 4.0%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 AM 2.9%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM 3.6%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM 3.4%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM 5.1%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM 5.2%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM 6.1%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM 6.8%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM 9.8%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM 10.3%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM 7.9%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM 8.0%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 8.3%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 5.3%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 5.9%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 6.0%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 5.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 3.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-3.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$98.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$35.4K

Market Significance

High (70)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 32/100.

Probability Momentum 11
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 98
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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