Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 0.5pp

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 22:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $57,255
High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

151 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.2%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.2%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.3%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$83.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$57.3K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 2

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 87

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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