Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?

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Current Probability

99.5%

24h Change

+47.0 pp

Signal Score

65/100

Data Confidence

Medium (63)

24h probability rose 47.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 15:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $15,548
Medium data confidence (63)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.5%

24h Change

+47.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

51 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 03:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM	99.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM	98.0%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM	96.0%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM	95.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM	94.5%
8/1/2026, 11:45:00 AM	92.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM	90.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM	90.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM	91.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM	86.5%
8/1/2026, 7:30:00 AM	85.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM	85.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM	82.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM	85.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM	77.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM	81.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM	70.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM	63.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM	69.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM	70.5%
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM	75.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM	68.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM	68.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+3.4 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$239.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$15.5K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 65/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 87

Persistence 44

Data Confidence Medium (63)

Next Steps

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