Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets August 1 - August 3, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.4%

24h Change

-10.1 pp

Signal Score

33/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability fell 10.1pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 07:36 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Low liquidity ($4,612)
High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.4%

24h Change

-10.1 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

87 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 07:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM	0.4%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	1.2%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	1.3%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM	1.6%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM	2.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM	4.0%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM	4.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	4.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	5.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	5.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	7.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	9.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	9.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM	11.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM	10.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.8 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$52.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$4.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (64)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 3, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 33/100.

Probability Momentum 34

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 77

Persistence 45

Data Confidence High (71)

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