Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets August 1 - August 3, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 07:36 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $14,240
Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

87 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 07:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.7%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.7%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.8%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.8%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.8%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.8%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.9%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	1.3%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	1.4%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	1.6%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	1.4%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM	1.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM	1.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM	1.4%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM	1.6%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$52.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$14.2K

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 3, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 3

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 80

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (69)

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