Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-04?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

32.5%

24h Change

-20.0 pp

Signal Score

57/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 20.0pp

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 18:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $110,772
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

32.5%

24h Change

-20.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

121 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 06:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM	32.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	56.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	56.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	55.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	55.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	55.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	55.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	54.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	54.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	54.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM	54.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	54.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	54.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	53.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-25.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$218.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$110.8K

Market Significance

High (83)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 4, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 57/100.

Probability Momentum 67

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 88

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗