Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?

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Current Probability

31.5%

24h Change

-14.0 pp

Signal Score

50/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 14.0pp

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 18:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $158,408
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 31.5% · Aug 4, 06:15 PM

30% 41% 51% Aug 3 Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 4 Current 31.5% · 5d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

31.5%

24h Change

-14.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

121 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 06:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM 31.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM 45.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-14.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$120.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$158.4K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 4, 2026

Attention Score

32

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.

Probability Momentum 47
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 100
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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