Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

54.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

Signal Score

30/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability fell 4.0pp

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 17:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $124,320
High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

54.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

143 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	54.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	56.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	57.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	56.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	56.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	56.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	58.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	58.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$114.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$124.3K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 5, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 30/100.

Probability Momentum 13

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 70

Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗