Will NEC win on 2026-08-11?

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Current Probability

19.5%

24h Change

-16.0 pp

Signal Score

51/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability fell 16.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 19:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $116,251
High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

19.5%

24h Change

-16.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

135 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 07:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM	19.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM	38.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM	36.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	35.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	35.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	35.0%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM	35.0%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	35.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-19.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$68.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$116.3K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 51/100.

Probability Momentum 53

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 91

Data Confidence High (77)

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