Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-11?

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Current Probability

45.5%

24h Change

-6.0 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability fell 6.0pp; volume is 178.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 19:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 6.0pp
  • 24h volume is 178.9x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $160,004

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 45.5% · Aug 11, 07:00 PM

45% 50% 55% Aug 10 Aug 11 Aug 11 Aug 11 Current 45.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

45.5%

24h Change

-6.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

135 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 07:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM 45.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM 51.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-9.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$78.2K

Volume vs Baseline

178.9x baseline

Liquidity

$160.0K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

74

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 20
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 80
Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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