Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?
Current Probability
100.0%
24h Change
+45.5 pp
Signal Score
88/100
Data Confidence
High (82)
24h probability rose 45.5pp; volume is 753.1x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 45.5pp
- 24h volume is 753.1x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $1,224,141
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
100.0%
24h Change
+45.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM | 84.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 49.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 60.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 58.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 1:15:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 57.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 9:15:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 55.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 7:30:00 AM | 55.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 55.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 55.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 55.5% |
| 8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 55.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$5.0M
Volume vs Baseline
753.1x baseline
Liquidity
$1.2M
Market Significance
High (87)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 12, 2026
Attention Score
100
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 88/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 100
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 100
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 100
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 20
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (82)