Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-24.4 pp

Signal Score

79/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 24.4pp; volume is 132.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 22:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 24.4pp
  • 24h volume is 132.6x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $854,539

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 12, 10:45 PM

0% 18% 37% Aug 11 Aug 12 Aug 12 Aug 12 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-24.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

164 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM 0.1%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM 16.0%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM 23.0%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM 24.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$320.8K

Volume vs Baseline

132.6x baseline

Liquidity

$854.5K

Market Significance

High (84)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

93

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 79/100.

Probability Momentum 82
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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