Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-20.4 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

High (82)

24h probability fell 20.4pp; volume is 162.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 22:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 20.4pp
24h volume is 162.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $635,621

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-20.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

164 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 10:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM	1.1%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	17.3%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	16.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	17.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	19.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	19.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	19.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	19.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	19.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	19.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	20.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	20.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	20.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	20.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	20.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$477.7K

Volume vs Baseline

162.6x baseline

Liquidity

$635.6K

Market Significance

High (85)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 68

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 97

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (82)

Next Steps

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