Spread: Paris Saint-Germain (-1.5)

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-30.4 pp

Signal Score

87/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 30.4pp; volume is 371.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-12 22:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 30.4pp
24h volume is 371.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $227,901

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-30.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

164 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 12, 10:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/12/2026, 10:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/12/2026, 8:45:00 PM	19.0%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM	20.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM	37.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 6:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/12/2026, 3:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/12/2026, 2:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM	30.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$113.3K

Volume vs Baseline

371.3x baseline

Liquidity

$227.9K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 87/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗