The Memphis Classic: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearns
Current Probability
34.5%
24h Change
Insufficient history
Signal Score
14/100
Data Confidence
Low (34)
Signal passed quality checks
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h history insufficient for probability change
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $121,649
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
34.5%
24h Change
—
7d Change
Only 4d of listing history
Coverage
17h of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM | 34.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 37.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 36.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 26.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 26.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 26.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 26.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 26.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 26.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 26.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 26.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 26.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 27.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 27.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 27.0% |
| 7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 27.0% |
| 7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 27.0% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-2.0 pp
7d Change
Only 4d of listing history
24h Volume
$219.1K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$121.6K
Market Significance
High (75)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 4 days
End Date
Aug 7, 2026
Attention Score
19
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 0
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 93
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 0
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability Low (34)