Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

87.0%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

15/100

Data Confidence

Low (35)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 21:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $342,561

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 87.0% · Jul 31, 09:45 PM

48% 69% 91% Jul 31 Jul 31 Jul 31 Jul 31 Current 87.0% · 17h of stored history · 18 pts

Current

87.0%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

17h of stored history

18 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 09:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM 87.0%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 63.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM 51.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM 53.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM 54.0%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM 53.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM 53.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM 53.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+34.5 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$904.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$342.6K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 15/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 100
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (35)

Next Steps

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