Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalov

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

6.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

15/100

Data Confidence

Low (35)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 07:36 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $322,251

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 6.5% · Aug 1, 07:30 AM

1% 33% 65% Jul 31 Jul 31 Aug 1 Aug 1 Current 6.5% · 21h of stored history · 22 pts

Current

6.5%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

21h of stored history

22 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 07:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/1/2026, 7:30:00 AM 6.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM 26.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM 46.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM 43.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM 60.0%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM 59.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 59.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM 58.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM 58.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 57.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM 56.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM 56.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM 55.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 53.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM 53.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM 53.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM 53.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM 53.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM 53.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-40.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$821.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$322.3K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 15/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 99
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (35)

Next Steps

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