Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?

Open · Resolves in 281 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

4.0%

24h Change

+0.5 pp

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability rose 0.5pp; volume is 127.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 7 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-16 07:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 0.5pp
  • 24h volume is 127.1x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $28,108

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

Browse other markets

Current

4.0%

24h Change

+0.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$135.2K

Volume vs Baseline

127.1x baseline

Liquidity

$28.1K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 281 days

End Date

Jul 1, 2027

Attention Score

68

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 2
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.