The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants

Open · Resolves in 5 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-47.4 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability fell 47.4pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 15:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $147,094
  • Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 2, 03:45 PM

0% 26% 52% Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 2 Aug 2 Current 0.1% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-47.4 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

48 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 03:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM 0.1%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM 4.0%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM 16.0%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM 34.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM 45.0%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM 45.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM 45.0%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM 45.0%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM 45.0%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM 45.0%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM 45.0%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM 45.0%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM 45.0%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM 45.0%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM 47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-16.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$400.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$147.1K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 5 days

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 60
Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

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