Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

99.9%

24h Change

+1.7 pp

Signal Score

23/100

Data Confidence

High (73)

24h probability rose 1.7pp

Market data

Updated 21 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 12:30 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $34,736
  • High data confidence (73)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.9% · Aug 7, 12:30 PM

97% 100% 100% Aug 6 Aug 6 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 99.9% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

99.9%

24h Change

+1.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

149 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 12:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM 99.9%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 99.8%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 99.7%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 99.8%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM 99.6%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 99.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 99.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 99.4%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 99.3%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 99.0%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM 99.0%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 98.9%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 99.4%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 99.3%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 98.9%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM 99.2%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM 98.6%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM 98.7%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM 98.7%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM 98.6%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM 98.7%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM 98.9%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM 98.8%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM 98.2%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$192.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$34.7K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 23/100.

Probability Momentum 6
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 45
Data Confidence High (73)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.