Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 7?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

96.5%

24h Change

+24.1 pp

Signal Score

56/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability rose 24.1pp

Market data

Updated 21 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 12:30 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $24,856
  • High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 96.5% · Aug 7, 12:30 PM

59% 80% 100% Aug 6 Aug 6 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 96.5% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

96.5%

24h Change

+24.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

149 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 12:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM 96.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 96.2%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 94.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 92.5%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM 92.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 86.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 68.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 69.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM 67.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 67.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 73.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 72.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM 67.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM 71.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM 70.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM 69.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM 75.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM 78.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM 75.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+2.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$137.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$24.9K

Market Significance

High (70)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

41

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 56/100.

Probability Momentum 80
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 45
Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.