Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?

Open · Resolves in 24 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

8.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

41/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 1.0pp; volume is 6.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 1.0pp
24h volume is 6.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $16,408

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

8.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

166 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	9.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	9.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	9.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	9.0%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	9.0%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	9.0%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	9.0%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	9.0%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	9.0%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	9.0%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	9.0%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	9.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$34.3K

Volume vs Baseline

6.7x baseline

Liquidity

$16.4K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 24 days

End Date

Aug 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.

Probability Momentum 3

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 79

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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