Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?

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Current Probability

97.5%

24h Change

+44.5 pp

Signal Score

69/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability rose 44.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 15:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $12,480
Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

97.5%

24h Change

+44.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

46 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 03:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM	97.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	71.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM	54.5%
8/2/2026, 11:45:00 AM	73.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM	76.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM	79.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM	88.5%
8/2/2026, 7:30:00 AM	87.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM	87.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM	83.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM	90.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM	85.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM	81.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM	39.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM	39.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM	28.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM	24.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM	24.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+26.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$207.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$12.5K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 2, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 69/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 75

Data Confidence Medium (65)

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