Ethereum Up or Down on August 2?

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Current Probability

1.4%

24h Change

-48.6 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

Medium (61)

24h probability fell 48.6pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 15:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $7,559
Medium data confidence (61)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

1.4%

24h Change

-48.6 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

44 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 03:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM	1.4%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	4.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	5.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	12.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM	12.0%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM	45.0%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM	52.0%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM	63.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM	63.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM	71.0%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM	64.0%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM	29.0%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM	19.0%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM	16.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM	21.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM	21.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM	14.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM	14.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM	16.0%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM	37.0%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM	47.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-4.1 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$77.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$7.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 2, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 80

Persistence 45

Data Confidence Medium (61)

Next Steps

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