Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Sumit Nagal

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 11:49 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $291,186

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 1, 11:45 AM

46% 73% 100% Jul 31 Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 1 Current 100.0% · 13h of stored history · 14 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

13h of stored history

14 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 11:45 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/1/2026, 11:45:00 AM 100.0%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 79.0%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM 50.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM 51.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 53.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM 53.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+45.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$348.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$291.2K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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