National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhang

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

47.5%

24h Change

-17.0 pp

Signal Score

54/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 17.0pp

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 18:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $431,714
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 47.5% · Aug 3, 06:15 PM

46% 57% 68% Aug 2 Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Current 47.5% · 3d of stored history · 29 pts

Current

47.5%

24h Change

-17.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

67 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 06:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM 47.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 10:45:00 AM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM 66.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM 64.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM 66.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-19.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$283.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$431.7K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

36

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 54/100.

Probability Momentum 57
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 94
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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