National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+58.5 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

Medium (66)

24h probability rose 58.5pp

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 18:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $320,043
Medium data confidence (66)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+58.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

63 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 06:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM	100.0%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	100.0%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	71.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	42.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+28.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$280.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$320.0K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 94

Persistence 69

Data Confidence Medium (66)

Next Steps

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