Canadian Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin Royer

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

87.5%

24h Change

+21.0 pp

Signal Score

57/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability rose 21.0pp

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 18:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $434,382
High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

87.5%

24h Change

+21.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

87 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 06:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM	87.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	89.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM	67.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	67.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM	66.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	66.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+14.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$108.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$434.4K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 57/100.

Probability Momentum 70

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 80

Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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