National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus Williams

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+24.5 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability rose 24.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 20:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $298,345
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 2, 08:15 PM

72% 86% 100% Aug 1 Aug 2 Aug 2 Aug 2 Current 100.0% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+24.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

41 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 08:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/2/2026, 8:15:00 PM 100.0%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM 79.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM 79.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM 79.0%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM 79.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM 79.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM 77.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM 77.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM 76.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM 76.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM 76.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM 76.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM 76.0%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM 76.0%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM 75.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM 76.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM 76.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM 74.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM 75.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM 75.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+20.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$202.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$298.3K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

43

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 82
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 90
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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