Canadian Open: Jaume Munar vs Rinky Hijikata

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

89.0%

24h Change

+35.5 pp

Signal Score

66/100

Data Confidence

Medium (64)

24h probability rose 35.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 20:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $135,746
  • Medium data confidence (64)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 89.0% · Aug 2, 08:15 PM

26% 61% 96% Aug 1 Aug 2 Aug 2 Aug 2 Current 89.0% · 2d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

89.0%

24h Change

+35.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

42 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 08:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/2/2026, 8:15:00 PM 89.0%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM 90.0%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM 87.0%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM 89.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM 90.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM 31.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM 53.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$355.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$135.7K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 66/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 43
Data Confidence Medium (64)

Next Steps

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