National Bank Open: Tereza Valentova vs Taylor Townsend

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

27.5%

24h Change

-38.0 pp

Signal Score

74/100

Data Confidence

Medium (70)

24h probability fell 38.0pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $388,862
Medium data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

27.5%

24h Change

-38.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

68 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	27.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	38.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	64.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	64.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	65.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	65.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-37.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$618.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$388.9K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 74/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 98

Persistence 98

Data Confidence Medium (70)

Next Steps

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