Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-63.5 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 63.5pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $341,745
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-63.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

74 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	37.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	73.0%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM	68.0%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	67.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	67.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	66.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 10:45:00 AM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	63.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	63.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-44.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$689.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$341.7K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 98

Persistence 82

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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