Canadian Open: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalov

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

24.5%

24h Change

-19.0 pp

Signal Score

57/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 19.0pp

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 18:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $412,452
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

24.5%

24h Change

-19.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

87 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 06:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM	24.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM	41.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM	40.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	43.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-18.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$129.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$412.5K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 57/100.

Probability Momentum 63

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 97

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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