Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-25.4 pp

Signal Score

66/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 25.4pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $688,597
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 3, 11:45 PM

0% 18% 36% Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Current 0.1% · 3d of stored history · 30 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-25.4 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

75 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM 0.1%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM 23.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM 23.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM 25.0%
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM 23.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM 24.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM 26.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 10:45:00 AM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM 25.5%
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM 24.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM 24.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM 24.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-23.4 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$208.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$688.6K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

44

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 66/100.

Probability Momentum 85
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 95
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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