Canadian Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Juncheng Shang

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

18.5%

24h Change

-26.0 pp

Signal Score

67/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 26.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 15:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $349,178
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

18.5%

24h Change

-26.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

36 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 03:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/2/2026, 3:45:00 PM	18.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	42.0%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM	42.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM	43.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM	44.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-24.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$166.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$349.2K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 67/100.

Probability Momentum 87

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 95

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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