National Bank Open: Panna Udvardy vs Eva Lys

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

3.5%

24h Change

-33.0 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 33.0pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 23:54 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $353,167
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 3.5% · Aug 3, 11:45 PM

0% 20% 40% Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 3 Current 3.5% · 3d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

3.5%

24h Change

-33.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

68 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 11:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM 3.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 36.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM 36.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM 36.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM 36.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM 36.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-32.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$98.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$353.2K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 98
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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