Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-16.4 pp

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 16.4pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 10:56 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $34,684
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-16.4 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

58 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 10:45 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 10:45:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	7.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	55.0%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	20.0%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	10.0%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM	7.5%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM	9.0%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM	8.0%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM	7.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	9.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	12.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$65.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$34.7K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 3, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 55

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 84

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗