Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?

Open · Resolves in 28 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

47.5%

24h Change

+6.0 pp

Signal Score

25/100

Data Confidence

Medium (70)

24h probability rose 6.0pp

Market data

Updated 57 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 10:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $46,262
Medium data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

47.5%

24h Change

+6.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

79 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 10:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 10:15:00 AM	47.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/4/2026, 7:15:00 AM	47.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	50.0%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	48.0%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	51.0%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	53.5%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	40.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$45.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$46.3K

Market Significance

High (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 28 days

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 25/100.

Probability Momentum 20

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 84

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (70)

Next Steps

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